Cost of Living

Zambia’s High Cost of Living: A Driver of Gender Inequality

By Aquila Ng’onga

The rising living cost is not only a topical issue in Zambia but also across the globe. Countries, developed or least developed are all feeling the pinch. Japan at the start of the year, for example, recorded its highest inflation rate in 41 years. At the end of last year, inflation rates stood at 9.2 percent and 10.5 percent in the Eurozone and the United Kingdom respectively. Zambia like many other SubSaharan countries is grappling with high living costs. The annual inflation for February 2023 stood at 9.6 percent. Further, according to the Jesuit Centre for Theological Reflection (JCTR) Basic Needs and Nutrition Basket (BNNB), the cost of living for a family of 5 in the capital, Lusaka stands at KK9, 003.21. This is considerably high given that the average monthly income in the nation stands at K4, 393.00

The brunt of the impact of the high cost of living is borne by the poorest and most marginalized in Zambia. It must be noted that more than half of the Zambian population live under the poverty line and the majority of this demographic is women. In addition, official information from the 2021 Labour Force Survey by the Zambia Statistics Agency shows that unemployment is higher among women than men with 60.5 percent males employed at national level compared to only 39.5 percent of females. The survey also reported that males had a higher monthly income than females in all the different sectors. This therefore highlights that women stand to be impacted more than men by the high cost of living due to their limited capacity to earn decent income to afford basic needs and services.

“… the impact of the high cost of living is borne by the poorest and most marginalized in Zambia, (with) unemployment higher among women than men.”

The high cost of living is therefore a driver of gender inequality. This is because by limiting the ability of women to afford or have

 access to essential goods and services, their welfare is negatively affected. When women and girls cannot afford essential commodities such as menstrual hygiene products, food and water, including energy, it becomes detrimental to their development. This also has serious implications on attaining long term goals such as Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 5 which focuses on gender equality. This therefore calls for a need to address the high cost of living.

It is evident that the spark that lit the bonfire is the public debt crisis. Zambia’s external debt as of end June 2022 stands at USD 14.87 billion with debt to GDP ratio standing at 103.7 percent. With a worrying trend of over 40 percent of government spending dedicated to debt service payments over the years, it becomes challenging to secure sufficient per-capita revenue for social sector spending and in particular gender equity and equality programs, all of which are critical for the welfare and development of women. Therefore, the starting point in addressing the high cost of living in Zambia, which is impacting women more disproportionately, is by addressing the debt crisis.

“When women and girls cannot afford essential commodities (…) it becomes detrimental to their development.”

The Zambian government is currently working on the process of debt restructuring. It is particularly important that this is concluded quickly so as to harness the much needed fiscal space for social sector spending critical for development and sustenance of the welfare of women. Government must therefore engage all creditors and most importantly ensure to strengthen and expedite engagements with China to whom the debt is owed the most. Past the debt restructuring, there is a need to present a domestic resource mobilisation strategy that will yield substantial revenue for gender equity and equality programs as well as social sector spending such as education, health, water and sanitation, including agriculture. This is particularly important in addressing gender inequality and lowering the high cost of living. The Auditor General’s Report continues to highlight revenue leaks in public resource management. The 2021 report reveals outstanding matters in the revenue section of over ZMW 90 billion (USD 4.4 billion). This is indeed potential revenue needed to address the high cost of living.

Lastly, the government must review tax policy to ensure that it is gender sensitive. This will be key in shifting the tax burden (borne through indirect taxes) from women and the marginalised to corporations and the elite who must pay their fair share. There is a need to review corporate tax incentives and limit dependence on indirect taxes which have serious social impacts on women. The high cost of living is therefore a crisis that demands urgent response to prevent further widening of the gender gap.

Will Zambia's Rescheduled Debt Reduce the Cost of Living?

By Bernard Mwaba

The Outlook

In recent years, Zambia’s debt crisis threatened to destabilise the country’s economy with an undesirable effect, leading to an unprecedented rise in the cost of livelihood for its citizens as the value of the Kwacha depreciated. Much to the population’s relief, the ruling UPND government reached a debt restructuring agreement with its official creditors in June of this year, which paves way for the commercial creditors to follow suit on comparable terms in order to assist Zambia to bring its debt to sustainable levels.

Under this agreement (reached after years of negotiations that led to the country defaulting on debt obligations), Zambia will be able to restructure its debt in a way that reschedules repayment for $6.3 billion including $1.3 billion in arrears of the total $18.6 billion external debt in a 20-year period (the first three years will be a grace period in which only payments on interests are due). This deal makes it manageable for the country to focus on economic recovery and growth through the development agenda.

It is yet to be seen if the debt restructuring is going to have an impact on the cost of living. The cost of living as measured by the JCTR’s Basic Needs and Nutrition Basket (BNNB) for a family of five (5) across the 16 towns monitored in June 2023 stood at K6, 783.26; that is K2, 568.26 above the national average income of K4, 215. Lusaka, the Capital City, remained the most expensive place to live in, amassing a basket worth K9, 239.45 (K5, 024.45 above national average) whilst Kasama (the least expensive town) clinched K4, 546.87.

Benefits for an Ordinary Zambian

It is expected that the debt rescheduling agreement may bring some relief to the common person in Zambia through reduction of the cost of living in the medium term. This owes largely to the fact that the country’s debt burden crippled government’s budget, making it difficult to invest in infrastructure and social spending for the larger population living below the poverty line. With the rescheduled debt, government is now graced with the elasticity to allocate resources towards these key areas which will lead to improved livelihoods.

In terms of the currency, the Zambian kwacha, which has been under immense pressure due to the debt distress and fiscal uncertainties may stabilise, leading to lower inflation and affordable prices for goods and services which, all things being equal, might help to reduce the cost of living for the average household.

There is More Work to be Done

It is important to note that the debt rescheduling agreement does not completely resolve Zambia’s economic challenges for her 19.6 million population. Zambia quite sadly still faces significant structural and administrative issues that will need to be addressed in order to achieve sustainable economic and development goals in the given grace period. The country must enhance its productivity and value addition to generate more revenue from its resources. The country must also address two greatest enemies to development; poor debt management and resource wastage through corruption, financial crimes and illicit financial flows.

Debt rescheduling does not come risk free. In fact, should the UPND government fail to follow through on its commitments to reduce debt levels whilst implementing economic reforms and fighting corruption with draconian measures, the country may relapse to similar or even graver situation in the future.

The Nexus Between Zambia's Debt Crisis and the Cost of Living

By Alex Muyebe, S.J

One of key works of JCTR is to monitor the cost of living in Zambia on a monthly basis in order to assess the implications of the cost of living on the vulnerable communities. The evidence that JCTR generates is used to advocate for pro-poor policies aimed at addressing poverty and inequality in Zambia. To generate this evidence JCTR uses four types of tools to collect and analyse data namely the Basic Needs and Nutrition Basket which collects data from both urban and rural communities, the Rural Basic Needs and Nutrition Basket which collects data from the rural communities only, the Satellite Home Survey which collects data from low income households and Mini-Studies which collect data from a wide range of stakeholders (government actors, non-government actors and community members).

JCTR has observed that the food prices in Zambia have been on rise since the beginning of 2022 due to the impact of COVID pandemic, climate change, and the on-set of the Ukraine-Russian conflict. Since January 2023 JCTR has observed a new wave of upsurge in food prices and other essential commodities largely due to the stagnation in Zambia’s debt restructuring negotiations under the G20 Common Framework. The JCTR Basic Needs and Nutrition Basket has surpassed the K9, 000 mark since January 2023. This is considerably higher than the average monthly income in Zambia which stands at K4, 215, according to the 2021 Labour Force Survey by the Zambia Statistics Agency.

According to the Ministry of Finance and National Planning, the delay in concluding the debt restructuring negotiations has put pressure on the local currency, which has weakened against major currencies.

From the cost of living perspective, a weaker currency implies greater import costs for an import-dependent country like Zambia, with the brunt of this burden being passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices on food, fuel, and other essential commodities.

Unfortunately, these price increments are not accompanied by corresponding increments in nominal income (salaries). This means that the household’s real income is reduced and so is the household’s capacity to purchase the same quantity and quality of food and other basic necessities.

On Tuesday this week, JCTR released two reports, one on the recent Satellite Home Survey and the other on the JCTR Mini-Study on the Impact of the Cost of Living on the Poor Household in Lusaka. Both studies have revealed that the rising cost of living is causing households to cut down

“A JUST ZAMBIAN SOCIETY GUIDED BY FAITH, WHERE EVERYONE ENJOYS FULLNESS OF LIFE”

on the number of meals per day as well as comprise on nutritional content of these meals. The net result is that the rising cost of living has potential to drive low-income households into abject poverty in Zambia.

Therefore, Government must address any impediments to concluding the debt restructuring process in order to arrest the escalating cost of living. Debt restructuring is critical in stabilising the economic fundamentals which are crucial for economic growth and poverty alleviation. Further, government must present a clear medium term domestic resource mobilisation strategy that will enable substantial revenue generation for social sector spending, which is crucial to addressing the high living cost.

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